A Europe-wide research effort is ramping up efforts to understand the risk to EU food supplies from climate change, after a report revealed that common staples are under threat from water scarcity and drought in the developing world.
The report, entitled Vulnerabilities of Europe’s economy to global water scarcity and drought revealed that supplies of animal feed, rice, cotton, grapes and even pistachios could be impacted in the near future as they come from regions that have a shortage of water.
In fact, over a third of Europe’s water needs come from other parts of the world, due to imported crops.
‘Right now it is more like an alert,’ said Professor Bart van den Hurk, who coordinates the EU-funded IMPREX project, which produced the report as part of its efforts to analyse the links between climate change and water.
‘Can you imagine the chocolate industry without cocoa.’
Dr Ertug Ercin, Water Footprint Network, the Netherlands
‘The next step is really to look at climate change sentinels (indicators) in the areas of exposure … and see whether you can actually translate climate change effects in those areas to European sensitivities,’ said Prof. van den Hurk, who works for The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, the Dutch national weather service.
According to the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the frequency and intensity of heatwaves and droughts will rise over the coming years as man-made climate change takes hold.
Dr Ertug Ercin, the lead author of the report, said that they were surprised when they realised just how vulnerable some of Europe’s food products were.
‘Can you imagine the chocolate industry without cocoa,’ said Dr Ercin, from the Water Footprint Network, a Dutch non-governmental organisation which is part of the IMPREX project. ‘These (industries) are so vulnerable, and that is shocking.’
The project worked out Europe’s water vulnerability by looking at trade flows into and out of Europe, and then examining the water situation in countries from where the food originates.
‘We always look at the supply side of the water issue,’ said said Dr Ercin. ‘But looking from the demand perspective and understanding the issues from the demand perspective is not well understood.'
Analysing water demand is part of a broader effort by the IMPREX project to encourage public officials and businesses to take climate change forecasts into account when making decisions by predicting how global warming will lead to extreme weather in Europe.
It’s in part driven by a personal commitment by Prof. van den Hurk to help people make better use of climate forecasts, where computer models can use satellite and ground measurements to extrapolate how climate change will affect us.
‘I’m really on a mission to embed this physical climate science further down the chain,’ he said.
If you liked this article, please consider sharing it on social media.
World governments agreed in Paris in 2015 to keep global warming to within 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial times.
In order to stop too much carbon dioxide going into the atmosphere - which is the main cause of global warming - the EU has set three specific targets to acheive by 2020. The targets are a 20 % cut on greenhouse gas emissions compared with 1990 levels, for 20 % of energy to come from renewable sources, and for a 20 % improvement in energy efficiency.
One of the main ways of acheiving these targets is through innovation - finding ways to use less energy and to generate energy sustainably.
Each of us harbours hundreds of man-made chemicals inside our bodies because we are exposed to them in our daily lives. While individual chemicals may not be of immediate concern to public health, scientists now worry that certain mixtures of them may pose previously underestimated risks to health.
An estimated 5.25 trillion particles of plastic float in Earth’s oceans, threatening not only the health of marine ecosystems and animals, but that of humans in the water we drink and the food we eat. However, research into the extent of the dangers posed by microplastics is still just in its infancy.
Teenagers rarely have a say in the public health policies that concern them, but we can’t halt the childhood obesity problem without working with them, says Professor Knut-Inge Klepp, executive director of the mental and physical health division at the Norwegian Institute of Public Health.
Staring at rows of numbers or formulas on a page can be off-putting for many children studying mathematics or science in school. But music, drawing and even body movement are providing promising new ways of teaching complex subjects to youngsters.
Dedicated policies and guidelines aim to reduce everyday exposure.
Mental health and free wifi in fast food joints have been raised as pertinent issues, says public health expert.
Notre Dame restoration is a learning opportunity, says historian.